Friday Addition Edition: Banks, PE loans and Aloe Vera

Most of you have been with me for some time now and are aware that I spend a lot of time testing ideas and strategies. I get lots of ideas, and as Victor Niederhoffer once said," If it can be tested, it must be tested."

It is not enough to have the idea. The ideas that initially sounded the most brilliant usually failed miserably when math was applied.

For every solid profit-producing strategy like small, sound banks under book value and private equity replication, I test and throw away another 20 that sounded great but tested out as idiotic.

I also steal a lot of ideas. People like Tobias Carlisle of The Acquirers Multiple, Wes Gray at Alpha Architect, and Meb Faber at Cambria Funds are doing some fantastic research work, and I am not the least bit shy about co-opting their ideas.

Meb Faber is big on shareholder yield. He has written a great book with catchy Title Shareholder Yield: A Better Approach to Dividend Investing. His firm also operates an ETF called Shareholder Yield (SYLD) that has performed very well since being released in 2013.

I took Meb's Basic idea and limited purchases to companies with shareholder yields over 5% trading at a PE ratio of less than 12. I also insisted that to pass the screen, each company had to have repurchased at least 1% of its outstanding shares over the past year

Then I added an insider buying element. There has to be at least one insider buying the stock in the last few weeks.

The screen does not produce a whole lot of results, but the strategy does perform very well.

I found a lot of banks on the screen. I am only going to share one with you because we took the results and ...

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Friday Edition- Big Sellers and Under the Radar Ideas

I read the headlines this morning, and it's really hard not to laugh out loud at the mainstream media and analyst community and see what they find surprising.

Everyone is surprised that retail sales do not match last month's. Sales ...

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Friday Addition Edition- Surprised Experts, Big Sellers and ,Under the Radar Ideas

I read the headlines this morning, and it's really hard not to laugh out loud at the mainstream media and analyst community and see what they find surprising.

Everyone is surprised that retail sales do not match last month's. Sales ...

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Friday Addition- A Random Walk

This morning I am just taking a walk through the markets kicking tires and turning over rocks in the constant search for opportunities. Rather than bore you with more data from the Fed (as important as that is in the ...

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Friday Addition Edition- A Random Walk

This morning I am just taking a walk through the markets kicking tires and turning over rocks in the constant search for opportunities. Rather than bore you with more data from the Fed (as important as that is in the ...

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Comments

Takeover #2 for the year- a 269% Return!

GREEN BAY, Wis. and MANISTIQUE, Mich., April 12, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- Nicolet Bankshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: NCBS) ("Nicolet") and Mackinac Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: MFNC) ("Mackinac") today jointly announced the execution of a definitive merger agreement, ...

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Friday Edition- More Insiders

I was thinking about what I should write about this morning over my coffee. My core instinct was to send a two-word edition of eh Friday note that just said: "Do nothing."

Markets have rallied straight up since last March. ...

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Friday Addition Edition- Apollos Inflation Hedge

The Fed has made it clear that they are content to let inflation run a little hot if it keeps the economy moving higher. They had adopted that as policy last year. Deflation has become the real fear for central ...

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Friday Edition SPAC Opportunities

We saw a much-improved jobs report this morning with 379,000 new jobs created last month. That's well above analyst expectations of 179,000. While some analysts are not happy that 355,000 of these jobs are in leisure and hospitality, I would ...

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Friday Addition Edition - SPAC Opportunities

We saw a much-improved jobs report this morning with 379,000 new jobs created last month. That's well above analyst expectations of 179,000. While some analysts are not happy that 355,000 of these jobs are in leisure and hospitality, I would ...

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Friday Edition: Venture BDC's

Last week we took a look at some Business Development Companies with close ties to private equity firms. These firms are financing takeovers, expansions, and add-on acquisitions side by side with some of the greatest private equity investors on the ...

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Friday Edition: Venture BDC's

Last week we took a look at some Business Development Companies with close ties to private equity firms. These firms are financing takeovers, expansions, and add-on acquisitions side by side with some of the greatest private equity investors on the ...

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Comments

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